2013年2月11日 星期一

微軟要小心,依 Google 發展軟體速度,微軟 Windows 未來將面臨 Google 的在企業市場之威脅 ( Microsoft needs to be careful, Google start to threat Microsoft from 2013 in enterprise business )

Could Android replace Windows?

這表明另一個操作系統,填補了所缺的Windows聽起來很瘋狂,但肯定是不會發生在不久的將來,桌面Linux仍然沒有管理。什麼的更長遠,但? Android是出奇地好,放在微軟巨獸的衣缽。你不相信我嗎?請繼續閱讀,看看這是為什麼。Suggesting that another operating system could fill the shoes of Windows sounds crazy, it certainly isn’t going to happen in the near future, desktop Linux still hasn’t managed it. What about the much longer term though? Android is surprisingly well-placed to take on the mantle of the Redmond behemoth. Don’t believe me? Keep reading to see why.

更換桌面操作系統的移動操作系統的想法是荒唐可笑的,只不過幾年前。不過,微軟已經牢牢地釘住它的顏色與Windows 8在桅杆上。 像其他人一樣,看到的未來是移動,並已開始變形的世界的主食操作系統的到移動。新的Windows 8觸摸輸入UI界面,有一個應用程序商店和沙箱中所有的應用程序。這看起來非常像一個移動操作系統。但是,除非你使用的是Windows RT設備,所有的那一接口粘在傳統的桌面界面上方的。The idea of a mobile operating system replacing a desktop operating system would have been ludicrous just a few years ago. However, Microsoft has firmly pinned it colours to the mast with Windows 8. It, like everyone else, sees that the future is mobile, and has started morphing the world’s staple operating system into something more mobile-friendly. The new tiled interface of Windows 8 is made for touch input, has an app store and sandboxes all of its apps. That looks pretty much like a mobile OS to me. However, unless you’re using a Windows RT device, all of that touch interface is glued on top of the traditional desktop interface.

同時,谷歌移動向桌面與 Chrome OS 和 Android 終於起飛的平板電腦作業系統。在所有的移動操作系統,Android 是最類似於 Windows 的。它有一個很容易訪問的文件系統(不同的iOS 或 Windows Phone)。它作為最方便的開發環境,為原始設備製造商和最友善的,也就是說,它是免費的。此外,Android是以往任何時候都更廣泛的設備上出現,從 Galaxy 相機,智能電視和 Ouya 遊戲機。 Meanwhile, Google is moving toward the desktop with Chrome OS, and Android is finally taking off as a tablet operating system. Of all the mobile operating systems, Android is the most Windows-like. It has an easily accessible file system (unlike iOS or Windows Phone). It as the most accessible development environment, and the most friendly terms for OEMs, i.e. it’s free of cost. Furthermore, Android is appearing on an ever wider range of devices, from the Galaxy Camera, to Smart TVs and the Ouya gaming console.

具有諷刺意味的是,對於微軟來說​​,Android是更類似於Windows的比Windows Phone。可以看到更多的相似性比消費端的OEM和開發人員的角度,雖然。任何OEM可以建立不同的iOS,Android設備,而Windows Phone需要特許權使用費。它的便宜,進入開發Android應用程序,它是Android的問題,由於不同硬件的風景 - 就像PC世界一樣難以診斷。此外,Android是比其他移動平台更加低廉。 iOS設備已經超出了很多人的經濟承受能力,同時也有一些價格合理的Windows Phone手機,他們是在少數人的範圍。Ironically, for Microsoft, Android is more Windows-like than Windows Phone. The similarities can be seen more from the OEM and developer side than the consumer side, though. Any OEM can build an Android device, unlike iOS, and Windows Phone requires a royalty. It’s cheaper to get into developing Android apps and it’s just as hard to diagnose problems in Android due to the heterogeneous hardware landscape – just like the PC world. Also, Android is much more affordable than other mobile platforms. iOS devices are beyond the financial reach of many people and while there are some reasonably priced Windows Phone handsets, they are in the minority of the range.

更重要的是,Android 已經使原始設備製造商的實驗與創新的硬件格式。請記住,華碩 Transformer 和摩托羅拉 Atrix 筆記本電腦碼頭長在當前Windows 8 可更換式之 Ultrabooks 上。 What’s more, Android has enabled OEMs to experiment with innovative hardware formats. Remember that the Asus Transformer and Motorola Atrix laptop dock were available long before the current crop of Windows 8 convertible Ultrabooks.

Sales figures show that tablets are becoming ever more popular with some analysts suggesting tablets will overtake PC sales in the near future. This makes sense, as someone who exclusively used Linux for a long time then transferred back to Windows for work reasons, I know just how complicated Windows actually is. To do anything more than web browsing, Windows is an overwhelming maze of menus and dialogues, it’s certainly no easier to use than desktop Linux. Whenever I see my non-tech literate friends and family proudly showing off their new Windows laptop, I cringe when I think of all the things that are going to go wrong for them.

The comparatively simplified and controlled user interface that we find on all mobile devices, including Android, is far more suitable to the majority of consumers who are not tech-literate and have little inclination to learn. For the record, I disagree with such attitudes, it’s as irresponsible as owning a car and not understanding how it works, but that’s just me, I know most people will never subscribe to that point of view.

The future of Windows

一直在支持的Windows的因素是慣性。 Windows是事實上的操作系統在世界各地。然而,微軟的方式讓每個人都已經進入觸摸界面(正式名稱為“Metro”)接口。不僅具有一定的市場反應,這是不冷不熱,但還沒有得到證明背後的驅動器​​,由數量缺乏觸摸屏的筆記本電腦,許多原始設備製造商。The factor that has always been in favor of Windows is inertia. Windows is the de facto operating system across the world. However, Microsoft’s way of getting everybody into a touch interface has been with the tiled (formally known as ‘Metro’) interface. Not only has the market reaction to this been lukewarm, but many OEMs have not gotten behind the drive, as evidenced by the number of laptops that lack touchscreens.

Disclosure, I have been using and preferring Windows 8 (to 7) since its release preview.

討厭採用 Win 8 界面,結合中異軍突起的普及,很多人開始考慮轉向 Android 平板電腦與鍵盤作為替代品碼頭到 Windows Ultrabooks,尤其是當大多數 Ultrabooks 成本略微超過Android平板電腦和鍵盤的組合。 Reluctance to adopt the tiled interface, combined with the meteoric rise in popularity could start many people thinking about turning to Android tablets with keyboard docks as alternatives to Windows Ultrabooks, especially when most Ultrabooks cost marginally more than Android tablet and keyboard combinations.

另一大優勢,Android 目前的應用程序對 Windows 8 和 Windows RT。除非應用程序目錄為Windows RT 量爆炸,Android 將在未來一年或兩年的人可能需要為個人和工作用途的應用程序,仍然具有很大的優勢。The other advantage that Android currently has over Windows 8 and Windows RT is that of apps. Unless the app catalogue volume for Windows RT explodes over the next year or two, Android will still offer a great advantage for apps that people may need for personal and work uses.

Microsoft has been touting the vision that using Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8 will offer the best integrated experience between ‘PC’ and phone. However, as someone who regularly uses Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8, I have yet to see any meaningful integration. The most effective integration I’ve experienced is SkyDrive and OneNote – both of which are available for Android.

Moreover, look at the user interface of Android phones and tablets. There is far more similarity between the two, and most apps will run on phones and tablets. Meanwhile, the difference with Windows 8, Windows RT and Windows Phone gets tricky to explain to the non-techies in our lives.

On the entertainment side, Microsoft’s Xbox music matching service is an appalling mess, whereas Google Music has been up and running for a long time. Its maturity has made it possible third party developers to create Google Music clients on Windows 8/RT and Windows Phone.

Problems with this vision

Android 取代 Windows 的明顯好原因。例如,我會覺得更安全的建議Android平板電腦,我的家庭成員,而不是一個完全成熟的Windows筆記本電腦。然而,總有一些將是桌面級的應用,人們需要為他們的工作,如視頻或圖像編輯等. There are clearly good reasons for Android to take over from Windows. For example, I’d feel much safer recommending an Android tablet to members of my family than a full blown Windows laptop. However, there are always going to be desktop class applications that people need for their work, such as video or image editing, etc.

Furthermore, Microsoft’s commitment to the tiled touch interface will mean that everyone who owns a home computer will probably end up using, and getting used to Windows 8. Inertia wins again.

Also, the Windows 8 and Windows Phone shared kernel could yet provide a virtuous circle for developers to create apps and games that will run on mobile and on desktops. Even so, Microsoft are not pretending Windows Phone will go any further than third place in the smartphone wars.

Ultimately, waiting for Android to take over from Windows is wishful thinking, but there are an increasing number of individual cases where doing so actually makes a lot of sense.

Xyologic: Android Will Overtake Apple In Monthly Downloads In June 2012

應用程序的世界越來越大,因此它似乎是恰當的另一家公司是跳躍在嘗試做這一切的感覺。 ,Xyologic 在這方面,新的球員之一,現在國際研究步驟進一步指出:它是生產月度數據為29個不同的市場,包括 Android 設備,iPhone,iPad和WP7應用程序下載 - 可以說是給它一些更全面的覆蓋的產品是什麼在應用程序。為移動應用程序市場的數字揭示了一些有趣的趨勢。 The world of apps is only getting bigger, so it seems fitting that another company is jumping in to try to make sense of it all. One of the newer players in this area, Xyologic, is now taking its international research one step further: it is producing monthly numbers for 29 different markets, covering Android, iPhone, iPad and WP7 app downloads — arguably giving it some of the more comprehensive coverage of what’s selling in apps today. The numbers reveal some interesting trends for the mobile app market.

– 在8月份,iPhone和iPod贏得了勝利,當它來到用戶的平均下載量,在8.7應用程序。總體而言,有超過1.2億的應用程序下載到iPhone和iPod touch設備,Xyologic估計,有源器件的數量分別為140萬。 In August, the iPhone and iPod won the day when it came to average downloads per user, at 8.7 apps. Overall, there were more than 1.2 billion apps downloaded to iPhone and iPod touch devices, and Xyologic estimates that the number of active devices were 140 million.

– 趨勢表明,蘋果公司(NSDQ:AAPL)將被Android超越整體從明年開始,每月下載下載,但Xyologic說,這是已經發生的事情在一些國家:捷克共和國,波蘭和葡萄牙。 The trends suggest that Apple (NSDQ: AAPL) will be overtaken by Android overall in terms of downloads starting next year for monthly downloads, but Xyologic says that this is already happening in some countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and Portugal.

– 但也有一些關鍵的數據差距。例如,印度沒有列出的電話號碼。事實證明,印度仍然只有一個測試版的市場。 But there are some key data gaps. For example, India has no numbers listed. It turns out that India still only has a beta version of the Market.

– 在美國,iPhone 4.16億應用程序下載,並在8月份的iPad擁有7千7百萬。然而佔了近一倍的 Android 商店,其中有2.78億次的下載活動。 Xyologic估計,根據目前的趨勢,Android 將趕上與蘋果公司在2012年6月的月平均下載。 Android 將會趕上 iOS 在聚合​​下載2013年5月。這些趨勢表如下。 In the U.S., the iPhone had 416.71 million app downloads, and the iPad had 77 million in the month of August. Together, that accounted for nearly double the activity on the Android store, which had 278.72 million downloads. Xyologic estimates that based on current trends, Android will catch up with Apple by June 2012 in terms of monthly downloads. Android will catch up with iOS in aggregated downloads by May 2013. Tables for these trends are below.

– Windows Phone是仍然落後於應用程序,因為它是在整體市場份額。在許多情況下,看到在其他平台上,在數以十萬計(芬蘭諾基亞自己的國內市場)的數字下載相比,幾乎可以忽略不計分數的數以百計的百萬在其他平台上。在美國,WP市場看到了1.295千萬的下載量近5億 iOS 設備之間。Windows Phone is still as behind in apps as it is in overall marketshare. In many cases, almost a negligible fraction of the downloads seen on the other platforms, with numbers in the tens of thousands (including in Nokia’s own home market of Finland) compared the the hundreds of millions on other platforms. In the U.S. the WP Marketplace saw 12.95 million downloads compared to the nearly 500 million across iOS devices.

– Android和蘋果的應用程序商店在2012年8月有68萬的應用程序。這將是他們的第一個月是脖子和頸部這般接近。There will be 680,000 apps apiece in the Android and Apple app stores by August 2012. That will be the first month that they are neck-and-neck.

Xyologic 的數字打破了付費和免費的應用程序,以及在每個市場不同的平台上出版的應用程序的數量。情況下,它的適用,Xyologic 還提供不同的應用程序發布者產生多少收入從下載的平台上的估計。 (什麼是中國像Android Market的應用程序店面,例如,目前不提供付費的應用程式)。Xyologic’s figures break out paid and free apps, as well as the number of apps getting published on the different platforms in each market. In cases where it’s applicable, Xyologic is also offering estimates on how much revenue different app publishers are generating on platforms from downloads. (What’s left out are app storefronts like the Android Market in China, for example, which currently does not offer paid apps.)

這個項目背後的思考是,中的不和諧的許多應用程序,是在市場上今天,它的努力為開發人員,應用程序店面的運營商,廣告商和其他工作中的應用程序到是能夠得到一個大的圖片什麼是工作作為一個企業。甚至更多的情況下是在一個特定的市場開發工作與他們的應用程序在國外的野心。The thinking behind this project is that amid the cacophony of the many apps that are on the market today, it’s hard for developers, app storefront operators, advertisers and the others working in apps to be able to get a big picture about what is working as a business. That’s even more the case for those developers working in one particular market with ambitions to take their apps abroad.

Xyologic will be offering these analytics for free. As with its competitors, the company generates revenue from bespoke analysis it does on behalf of device makers, carriers, investors, app and game publishers. It also offers a search engine for consumers searching for apps, which is powered by Xyologic’s algorithms.

該公司尚未覆蓋的一件事,然而,這些應用程序商店銷售應用的一個平台以外的正式的店面。例如,中國的 Android 市場,但它的其他應用程序店面,銷售Android應用程序谷歌自己的產品外,還包含有大量。今天,有沒有確實的數據,計算所有的 Android應用程序下載整個市場及其他應用程序店面。所以Xyologic估計,在Android平台上看到 2214萬的下載量在8月通過官方市場,但實際數字可能已經高達8000萬。One thing that the firm is not yet covering, however, are those app stores that are selling apps for a platform outside of the official native storefronts. For example, China has the Android Market, but it also features a number of other app storefronts that are selling Android apps outside of Google’s own offering. Today, there is no hard data counting all those Android app downloads across the Market and other app storefronts. So Xyologic estimates that the Android platform saw 22.14 million downloads in August through the official Market, but that the actual number could have been as high as 80 million.

Gmail users now number 425 Million, becomes most used webmail service
Chromebook with Android will be a trend in future?

此前有消息稱,Chrome 已經成為這個星球上最常用的瀏覽器(3.1億用戶),Gmail 有4.25億的月活躍用戶已經超過了 Hotmail ,根據官方博客。隨著這個數字已經超越了Hotmail 的在歷史上是第一次。我們注意到,早在今年1月,Gmail 的是3.5億,所以一直強勁,穩定的增長。 After the news that Chrome has become the most used browser on the planet (with 310 million users), Gmail has surpassed Hotmail with a total of 425 Million monthly active users, according to the official blog. With that number it has surpassed Hotmail for the first time in history. We noted back in January that Gmail was at 350 Million, so the growth has been strong and steady.

A quote from TechCrunch:

它被用來在美國的45個州的政府機構和66的前100名大學在美國已經跑至谷歌 Gmail。谷歌還宣布,超過500萬的企業現在已經“用了 Gmail” 說,谷歌,包括一些大公司,包括羅氏公司,荷蘭皇家航空公司和其他。It’s being used by government agencies in 45 states and 66 of the top 100 universities in the U.S. have already gone Google. Google also announced that over 5 million businesses have now “gone Google.” This, says Google, includes a number of large companies, including Roche, KLM and others.

The service began in 2004, and it has been growing ever since. Over the years, important new features have been introduced, including Priority Inbox, to help users get a handle on their email stream.

These numbers come from Google itself: comScore on the other hand notes that the number of active Gmail users is much lower:
Surface Pro 128GB is 999$, Surface Pro 64$ is 899$, but ARM
based Chromebook with Android in 12 inch will fall into 299$.

Google has way less unique visitors and still gives the edge to Hotmail and Yahoo. ComScore’s latest numbers from May have Hotmail at No. 1 with 325 million unique visitors, Yahoo at No. 2 with 298 million users, and Gmail at No. 3 with 289 million users.

However, comScore is a competitor to Google (in the analytics field), and the above stats do  not include smartphone / tablet access or internet cafe access, so the reliability of those numbers is debatable.

Gmail 在短短8年成為世界第一! Congrats to Gmail on becoming no. 1 in just 8 years!

趨勢分析與評論
  • Google Android OS 超越 iOS 後,緊接著就是 Android OS 加上 Gmail、Google drive、Google docs 會追上 Microsoft,雖然追上 Microsoft 時間不會這麼快;
  • Google Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 將是台廠最佳產品,符合企業及個人需求。
  • 也就是說企業需求將分割成文書 office 需求及工作應用軟體需求,文書 office 需求只需要 ARM based Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 就很夠用。
  • Microsoft 最佳策略應該是先買下所有工作常用之應用軟體公司團隊,否則,一旦ARM based Android OS 若配上 Chromebook 及 Microsoft web Office 流行於市場許多工作常用之應用軟體公司會將工作應用軟體轉成雲端工作應用軟體平台或配上 Chromebook 及 Android OS。
  • 由另一觀點看,既使 Microsoft 已經有 Window 8 及 Surface,但與 Android 及 iOS 比較,太過龐大以致硬體太貴,Smart Phone OS 是以小型、Cost effective 及易使用。
  • 既使微軟 Surface Pro 銷售告捷 128GB版銷售一空,但那只是緩和 PC、NB 將大幅衰退,無法新增市場,Tablet 市場仍大幅被 iPad、Android 及未來 Chromebook with Android Tablet 吃掉。
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2013年2月8日 星期五

馬政府怎麼對的起勞工?馬總統真的這麼殘忍嗎?真想蓋括承擔過去所有問題嗎?

放任老闆逍遙 派80個律師告勞工
勞工竟以死讓政府注意問題嚴重,這就是KMT
政府幫勞工的方式嗎?  我很同情這些窮苦的勞
工,請大家為勞工出聲

Q:因老闆落跑,你54歲離開聯福製衣廠,為何10幾年後,又要上街陳情?
A:我原本在桃園客運做車掌小姐,22歲嫁人後就在大溪,邊帶4個小孩,邊做手工裁縫;28歲進聯福成衣部工作。那時聯福做的成衣都外銷,很出名,員工2千多個。我想賺錢,每天都做到晚上9點後才下班。
老闆賺到錢後,轉去南非、泰國和越南開廠。我們工人有錢賺就好,我做我的事,沒想太多。誰知老闆打算85年關廠,84年年終,他就每個員工只發600元。到85年8月底,老闆叫我們趕完貨,先休息一個禮拜,沒想到我們放假回來,老闆就關廠跑掉,能用的機器也搬光。我們的退休金、遣散費沒了。覺得老闆太絕情,全部守在工廠裡不走;還有400多個勞工帶著睡袋去睡老闆家門口,最後到八德段平交道臥軌。勞委會看這樣不行,叫我們不要抗議,由政府代墊退休金,看我們年資怎麼算,等工廠賣掉土地,政府再拿回錢。之後銀行派人到工廠叫我們簽名,承辦人員跟我說,要寫我兒子、女兒作擔保,證明我有拿到這筆錢。

竟要以死爭退休金

我那時55歲,也無法找工作了,就在鎮上賣檳榔為生。7年前,我得乳癌做化療,2年前又復發,我再做化療跟標靶。前幾年,我知道聯福工廠的土地被拍賣,以為勞委會有要到錢,卻沒有。法院6月寄支付命令來,我看不懂,拿去問鄰居,鄰居說我欠勞委會錢,不還錢,要查封房子,我嚇到好幾天無法入睡,覺得自己54歲被老闆騙1次,現在70歲又被政府騙1次,越想越不甘願,趕快連絡大家。我的身體狀況讓我每一次上法院、街頭,都是凌遲,但碰到這種事,再吃力,我也要出來說清楚。

15年前,勞委會說是幫老闆償還給我們這些勞工資遣費;15年後,八德那塊工廠土地賣給建商蓋房子,錢全被銀行分走。勞委會又說契約寫的是借,要跟我們討錢,花2056萬請80個律師來對付我們。政府沒良心,老闆有錢,不去討,反而找我要,那我的退休金、遣散費,找誰要?有的老員工已經不在,法院照樣對子女、親戚提告,合理嗎?為了這事,我跑了很多地方。後來決定在台北車站跳軌,勞委會才說訴訟暫緩4個月。
我這輩子卡土性,只想拿回權益,沒想到連要個退休金,都要以死來爭取。當年臥軌抗爭,我以為能替子孫開條活路,讓日後少年人勞動有保障。沒想到15年後,還被勞委會告,我到底錯在哪?

呷到7、80歲還要上街喊,實在不好看。我只要求老闆守規則,該給勞工的就要給。我老命能活多久,不知道,我絕不還錢,跟勞委會拼到底。

:當年 KMT 政府處理不當,到今天卻遇見馬總統這麼冷血?KMT 政府訂的制度及處理不善真的害死勞工;

勞委會也"擠爆" 搶試算勞保年金 2013/2/8 12:14

龍年最後一個上班日,不少人忙著準備過年,但也有人忙著到勞保局排隊,因為行政院日前公佈的勞保年金改革方案,未來勞保保費將翻倍,但退休後的給付最低會打八折,讓很多勞工朋友擔心退休生活沒保障,打算先領了。有人痛批政府亂搞,勞保年金本來就不多,現在還要減少,要他們老了怎麼辦?

小年夜早上,勞保局才開門兩個小時,已經叫號叫到100多號,許多人都想趕在年前最後一個上班日,來算自己勞保年金到底可以領多少錢。

擔心退休生活沒保障,因為根據行政院提出的年金改革方案,未來投保費率將逐年提高到19.5%,等於保費加倍,但給付金額卻恐怕打八折,也難怪勞工心急,勞保局裡不只年屆退休的勞工三五成群,一起來諮詢,也有人還沒到達請領年資,但已經不願再等。

畢竟是退休生活唯一倚賴的養老金,該不該現在就領,恐怕讓不少年屆退休的勞工朋友,這個年很傷腦筋了。

:過去政府勞保基金經營不善造成巨額之累計虧損,勞保虧損不是勞工多領造成的,勞保新制根本沒有多少人領到勞退給付月退,而是許多虧損未補;政府失職造成之虧損當然政府要賠;怎會在馬政府改革中用提高保費來解決?等於馬政府把『經營不善造成巨額之累計虧損』推給勞工與雇主,這不是另一件殘忍苛待勞工之『改革』?勞工本以為提高保費是增加福利,想到馬政府的改革,根本是坑殺勞工。

勞工每年總綜所稅占總稅收最大部份,卻落到一再被政府蹧蹋

台灣勞團五大訴求中, 講的不清楚,政府過去 25年 軍公教退休俸累計調高了 246%,而且每年政府補給退輔基金就是1360億,但從未調高對勞保費政府支出之提升,現在每年補上 350億 ~ 1000億支持勞保來補足過去累計之也很合理,因為過去 25年 政府自勞工抽到之綜所稅總合超過6兆,過去 25年政府支出給勞保及就業補助低於 1.25兆,既使每年補上 1000億連續20年,也不過兩兆,為什麼政府不願意提高政府支出給勞保呢?政府不能一再欺騙及苛待勞工,說政府沒錢,18% 加上 13% 及年終慰問金就超過1000億,為什麼政府又變的有錢了?
  • 勞工每年總綜所稅 2900億 ~ 3000億,政府每年支出給勞保及就業補助只有 685億,勞工支出根本不是政府負債,反而,是幫政府生財的,勞工卻落到一再被政府蹧蹋;
  • 勞保基金每年勞保費總收入是 2342億,勞保給付總支出 1448億 每年還有營餘 867億,怎可能會倒? 潛藏債務怎麼算出來的?  如果,按照勞保每年有營餘去推算,15年來,至少,政府未補虧損之勞保基金金額極可能超過上兆,政府為什麼不補虧損呢?
  • 所以,台灣勞工要求政府支出給勞保補助須提高,每年增加補助 350億 ~ 1000億去補過去虧損是合理的,因為勞保虧損不是勞工多領造成的,勞保新制根本沒有多少人領到勞退給付月退,而是許多虧損未補;政府失職造成之虧損當然政府要賠,如果,虧損當然政府不賠,最後還是勞工受害;

勞保擠兌潮 2個月領走768億

去年十月傳出勞保將在116年提前破產,引起了擠兌年金潮!統計下來,10、11月請領一次金的件數高達5萬8千件,有768億元被領走,這是史上第二高紀錄!不過今天勞委會說勞保提前破產是口誤,氣得立委揚言,要提前退休的勞工申請國賠!

拿著大聲公,抒解人潮,實在是因為勞保局擠爆了!早上10點不到,號碼牌已經拿到500多號,15個櫃台排不夠,連大會議室都變成臨時勞保講堂,這是去年10月擠兌年金的盛況!

去年10月因為傳出勞保將提前在116年破產,馬上引起年金擠兌潮,每天趕去請領1次年金的民眾擠爆勞保局,請領件數一公布,嚇死人,10月有3萬3千多件,是史上第二高,金額更高達436億元,11月有2萬5千2百多件,被領走332億元,都是平常的好幾倍,總計光2個月,就有5萬8千名勞工申請,勞保一次金被領走768億!

勞保年金改革不含勞保虧損補足不僅無法解決問題,反讓勞工認為政府苛待勞工,連繳費信心都動搖
馬總統你真的這麼殘忍嗎?若馬總統你不追查勞保經營
內許多問題只聽勞委會用漲勞保費解決勞保經營經營不
善之問題,所有罪名會掛在馬總統上,馬總統
要有勇氣改正過去勞保局之惡制度 - 偷
挖勞工退休給付支付應由稅收支出之勞工社會
福利補助.

    勞工感覺不公平原因,主因是過去25年勞工貢獻之綜所稅就超過6.8兆,政府體系卻給全民負債5兆,而勞保舊制修改成新制至今勞保累積太多虧損未補,經追查發現主因不是勞工勞退給付領太多,而是政府管理不善造成許多虧損,勞保新制根本沒有太多人領到勞退給付,然道單單不能逐年由勞工貢獻之綜所稅補一些至勞保基金,馬總統就這麼吝嗇給勞工福利嗎?因為過去這些制度是 KMT主導,怎能一再騙勞工?政府體系怎能把製造債務丟給全民,又一直收勞保費的錢,勞保虧損又一直不補,那不是等於政府體系是詐騙集團。

現在勞退給付年齡延至65歲,台灣平均男性壽命 76.2,平均根本領不到 11年,以目前勞保基金之經營每年有盈餘,20年內根本是不可能倒;調高保費不補足勞保累積虧損只會讓勞工認為政府一再欺騙勞工,一直壓迫勞工繳稅,卻不能多撥一些稅收逐年去慢慢補足勞保累積虧損,反觀,軍公教每年都由稅金去補一堆退休福利支出;

評論
  • 馬總統你終生都是勞工繳稅養你及家人,執政五年了才一個一個看見你的欺騙與殘忍,勞工是繳稅最大宗占總稅收 24.5%,還供應經濟成長 GDP,幫助公司營收及獲利產生營所稅、貨物稅,怎可以這樣對待供養馬總統你及家人之勞工大眾呢?或許屬下隱瞞許多不法讓總統以為做的是對的事,勞保改革卻是充滿陷阱之決策,馬總統你真要蓋括承擔過去所有問題嗎?
  • 勞保年金改革不含勞保虧損補足是無法解決問題,會造成雇主加上勞工繳勞保費之總和低於支付勞工約19年勞退給付總合,勞工退休年齡延後至65歲,國人男性平均是76歲,平均支付勞工勞退給付約11年,等於馬政府改革要騙取勞工8年累計勞退給付資產,若以勞退給付平均月領 13671,這改革將騙取勞工每人 131萬勞退給付資產,900萬勞工就是騙取勞工 11.8兆,為什麼馬政府改革是要騙大家勞保費?
  • 勞工真的很恢心,這整個政府體制一再要求勞工繳稅養你們,卻不願意多撥一點勞工繳的稅去逐年補足勞保累計虧損?勞退新制是打造勞工退休保障,原意就是勞工退休保障,而不是拿來護盤更不是拿來支付非退休及老年給付如生育給付、傷病給付、失能給付、職災醫療給付、預防職業病健康檢查支出
  • 由以下勞保個人繳費例子可推斷出政府極可能已經虧損或挪用許多勞保基金,極可能是極大的隱藏性基金挪用問題,這是嚴重欺騙勞工的:以30年年資計算,依照平均收益率是4.5%是複利,既使勞保繳的保費累計領月退都可以約支撐 10年
    • 例子 : 投保等級 20, 勞保費合計月繳 3400 NT, 30年資年復利累計勞保金儲備約是 2368786 NT 勞退給付月領 19530 NT, 若65歲退休 因此可領 10年到 75歲; 國人男性平均壽命 76歲,近期勞保又調高,勞保基金根本不可能倒;所以,勞保基金極可能有許多已經被政府挪用至非屬退休用途?須請勞保局提出正確支出細目數據。註:若以月復利計算30年資投保等級20之累計勞保金儲備約是2581913,若是過去歷史年定存利率計算,既使將勞保費放進定存含息計算30年資投保等級20之累計勞保金儲備約是4362825,因此勞保局問題嚴重,可以一次領回退休給付反推就知勞保基金經營績效絕不是4.1%,勞保基金用累計平均總收益4.1%來淹蓋歷年經營不善之虧損。因此,勞委會必有隱瞞馬總統部份,我不認馬總統願意承擔過去一切勞保基金經營虧損。更何況過去平均一年定存利率是 5.45%,所以肯定需要追查,勞保局抓住總統不敢追查引起勞工退保擠退,用調查局抓住整票勞保局高層就可以追查下去。
    • 道理很簡單,怎可能30年資勞保給付一次領取之金額遠遠低於過去年定存之累計總勞保費含息金額呢?所以勞保被挪用於非退休及老年給付部份是相當嚴重的,政府怎可以拿勞工老人退休儲備去支付其他社會福利,這勞保的錢90%都不是政府稅收支出啊!與25年前勞保大部份由政府稅收支出不同,因此這制度讓勞工極不安,因為挪用於生育給付、傷病給付、失能給付、職災醫療給付、預防職業病健康檢查支出比率太高,已經失去勞工原繳稅之目的,全世界民主國家勞工繳稅之主要目的是得到非退休勞工社會福利,台灣政府卻用勞保來支出,這是危害勞保存在之目的,也讓勞工找到可以集體拒繳綜所稅之理由。
    • 那政府逐步調高勞保費至19%目的是什麼呢?這更說明勞保給付也是必須是勞工個人帳戶制度,因為只有政府不能動用之勞保基金才安全,公教體系之操守是不可輕信,由十三所學校共二十五位校長、總務主任貪污事件推斷,這系統極可能操守及管理不善問題一堆。
    • 真正害勞保是『勞工保險條例第2條規定, 普通事故保險包含生育、傷病、失能、老年及死亡五種給付應由勞工繳的綜所稅來支出』。2012 勞工繳的綜所稅約 2900億, 而政府支出給勞保及就業補助才 685億, 普通事故保險包含生育、傷病、失能、老年及死亡五種給付應由勞工繳的綜所稅來支出, 不應該由勞工保險來支出。勞委會公務員定的法規是壓榨勞工,造成政府支出給勞工福利過低主因。這規定未經全體勞工同意
    • 政府常以“台灣面臨人口老化與少子化問題,未來繳費者越少、領年金者越多,減弱社會保險世代互助的能力,造成勞保財務沉重壓力”當理由調高保費,但實際上由勞保繳費累計資產平均4.5%收益率,可以支撐每位勞工10年月領勞保給付,勞保費只要調高至11%就足以負擔所有勞工支出,為什麼要調高這麼多?主因就是政府編列許多非退休及老年給付項目如生育給付、傷病給付、失能給付、職災醫療給付、預防職業病健康檢查支出,這是嚴重欺騙勞工。

2013年2月6日 星期三

由 Facebook 行動應用成長、營收及獲利看 Google 及 Facebook 戰爭 ( From facebook apps, revenue and profit to watch Google and Facebook war )

Facebook Vaults Ahead of Google Maps to Finish 2012 as #1 U.S. Mobile App

在書的數字媒體與另一個有趣的一年,我們現在可以開始我們回顧在2012年,為了幫助實現數字化的未來成為關注的焦點發生了什麼事。毫無疑問,勇敢的新的數字世界後,我們比以往任何時候都更前,我們看到了現行規範,以PC為中心的網絡通過移動渠道中斷. With another interesting year in digital media in the books, we can now begin our retrospective view of what happened in 2012 in order help bring the digital future into focus. There is little doubt that the Brave New Digital World is upon us and more than ever before we’re seeing the existing norms of the PC-centric web being disrupted by mobile channels.

雖然平板獲得高速成長,智能手機應用程序仍然在快速的媒體消費的主要驅動力,與廣大的移動互聯網接入,智能手機和4每5分鐘花在應用程序的智能手機出發生在後PC時代的範例。該應用程序的空間是非常有競爭力,它變得越來越重要,每天的媒體品牌,以確保他們雕刻出對消費者有價值的房地產的屏幕。While tablets are gaining steam at a rapid clip, smartphone apps remain the key drivers of media consumption in the post-PC paradigm with the majority of mobile Internet access occurring from smartphones and 4 out of every 5 minutes on smartphones spent on apps. The app space is highly competitive and it’s getting more and more important every day for media brands to ensure they are carving out that valuable real estate on consumers’ screens.

據 comScore的最新手機Metrix的排名由觀眾展示的頂級移動應用程序,Facebook完成了從谷歌地圖上捕捉到的年排行最強排名第一的位置。當然,蘋果決定與蘋果在iOS6地圖取代谷歌地圖也造成了在使用谷歌地圖在10月下降,這在很大程度上是負責的位置互換。與此同時,谷歌地圖已經被抓的方式回到過去的數個月後的恢復在 iOS6,所以找的競爭升溫,我們前往到 2013 年排名第一的寶座。 The latest comScore Mobile Metrix ranking of the top mobile apps by audience shows that Facebook finished the year strong to capture the #1 position from Google Maps. Of course Apple’s decision to replace Google Maps with Apple Maps on iOS 6 also caused a decline in Google Maps usage in October, which is largely responsible for the position swap. Meanwhile, Google Maps has been clawing its way back the past few months after getting reinstated on iOS 6, so look for the competition for the #1 spot to heat up as we head into 2013.
Facebook apps jump up to number 1 used rate in mobile apps
儘管失去了榜首的位置,谷歌5,排名前六位的應用程序在應用程序市場保持了強有力的領導地位。無處不在的各種谷歌服務,除了有很多是原生 iOS 和 Android 上的應用程序,其實力或許應該不會令人感到驚訝。其他應用程序的排名四捨五入了包括潘多拉,iTunes中,Cooliris 的和Yahoo! Messenger。Despite losing the top position, Google maintains a strong leadership position in the app market with five of the top six ranked apps. Given the ubiquity of various Google services in addition to many being native apps on both iOS and Android, its strength should perhaps not come as a surprise. Other apps rounding out the ranking include Pandora, iTunes, Cooliris and Yahoo! Messenger.

除了擁有頂級的應用程序觀眾排名,Facebook 的一貫排名第1的移動應用程序的參與。他們的應用程序目前佔23%的時間花在應用程序,,而姐妹應用程序 Instagram 的擁有另外3%的市場份額。各種谷歌應用程序結合起來,花費的時間佔10%,與 Gmail 擁有個人的最高份額為3%。這兩個領先的網絡公司超過1每3分鐘,花費在移動應用程序相結合。 In addition to owning the top app audience ranking, Facebook has consistently ranked #1 in terms of mobile app engagement. Their app currently accounts for 23% of time spent on apps, while sister app Instagram owns another 3% of the market. Various Google apps combine to account for 10% of time spent, with Gmail owning the highest individual share at 3%. These two leading web companies combine for more than 1 out of every 3 minutes spent on mobile apps.

2013年將呈現一個有趣的動態谷歌和 Facebook 應用程序至上的搏鬥,而其他的媒體屬性看,闖出一片新天地,或建立一個更加突出的位置。 Twitter的,Amazon或eBay找到自己的方式進入今年排名前10位的應用程序嗎?參與 Netflix 的應用程序扶搖直上人在自己的手機成為更舒適的觀看視頻?什麼將成為下一個 Instagram 的憑空建立一個數以百萬計的觀眾在短短的幾個月嗎? 2013 will present an interesting dynamic as Google and Facebook wrestle for app supremacy, while other media properties look to carve out a niche or establish a more prominent position. Will Twitter, Amazon or eBay find their way into the top 10 apps this year? Will engagement on the Netflix app skyrocket as people become more comfortable viewing video on their phones? What will be the next Instagram to come out of nowhere to build an audience of tens of millions in a few short months?

Facebook's revenue soars 40% in a year

Facebook's revenue in the final three months of 2012 grew 40% compared to a year earlier - to $1.585 billion. The latest financial report shows daily active users hit 618 million on average in December 2012, with monthly active users at 1.06 billion.

More of us are also going mobile. There are 680 million monthly active mobile users compared to 618 million active non-mobile users.

In a statement, Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said: "In 2012, we connected over a billion people and became a mobile company. We enter 2013 with good momentum and will continue to invest to achieve our mission and become a stronger, more valuable company."

再探 Facebook Q4’12 財報: 行動裝置廣告營收成長率高

美國的超級財報週上場,在科技業可以說是幾家歡樂幾家愁,本季最具戲劇效果的莫過於各廠財報公布前夕, Apple 成長趨緩、成長不若各方預期下,導致公布前、後累計股價跌幅高達 30% 以上。而 Facebook 的表現也不差,受行動廣告溢助下營收大幅成長,除了先前的相關的數據外,我們再來看看 Facebook 中財報中其他值得注意的數據。

此次 Facebook 同樣受益於行動裝置的收入,讓它此次的營收再度獲利,圖中全年度的營收就可以明顯看出,行動裝置的的占收入的比例相當的高,也可以看出來其實從 2010 開始已是這個趨勢,雖然其他的收入有所成長,但仰賴主力的仍是在行動裝置上,在 2012 年依舊占有近 85% 之多。

不過值得觀注的是,由於會計年度的改變,Facebook 此次第四季的財報統計其實是四個月,而非一般的三個月,所以不能排除營收金額創下新高與於多了一個月的量有著關係,因此下一季的表現如何,值得觀察。

而用戶平均貢獻度來看也是逐年成長,且在第四季會大幅拉升,貢獻度最高不意外是在美國與加拿大地區,其次為歐洲。

淨利方面總算在連兩季虧損後再度獲利,全年度加總雖然沒有虧損,但比起往年的成績,總是覺得讓人覺得遜色不少。

不過就如前篇所說,在廣告的收入增時,同時也在破壞著用戶的使用者經驗,因為新一代的廣告是插入在動態消息的頁面中,中斷了使用者的閱讀頁面,效果雖好,但也可能造成反感,不過就活躍用戶的數據來看,從下方的圖表中可以看到,無論從每個月、每天或行動裝置來看,其黏性都維持的相當好。也是說,短時間內其社群網站的龍頭地位仍難以挑戰。

由於行動裝置占營收比例相當高,因此在各種手機上廣植 Facebook 的 App ,並提供各平台均一的使用方式對 Facebook 較有利,為自家推出專屬手機與各手機廠直接競爭其實是件吃力不討好的事,依此點來推測 Facebook 應不會在自家手機上著力才對。

最後來看看 Facebook 的員工的成長,看來也是隨著 Facebook 的拓展而逐年增加中,不過以其在全球的使用者數量來說,這樣的員工數量其實應也還好。

分析
  • Facebook 若營收及獲利可以持續成長,等於是在搶 Google 廣告生意;
  • Facebook 應該多與 Amazon 及 Apple Inc., 合作,增加 Music Social network apps 能力,這樣 Facebook apps 占有率將再增加;
  • Facebook 也可以加強 mobile web chatting 能力提出像 Line、Webchat 這樣 apps ,加強 Facebook apps 占有率;
  • Google 2012 Q4 營收是 144.2億美元,Facebook 2012 營收是 15.85 億美元,Google 營收是 Facebook 的 38 倍,Facebook 如何將 visiting rate 轉成營收是挑戰,Facebook 確實可以促進人們注意及了解分享的事件,但怎麼增加營收與獲利呢?
  • 台廠如何與 Facebook 合作能獲益? Google 正逐步轉變成部份是設備廠商角色,Google 眼鏡推出後就會更清楚 Google 扮演網路之神外是否會有像 Apple Inc., 積極於硬體廠商角色。
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